Year-by-year financial model for Fairfax County tax revenue impact of Reston National Golf Course PRC plan amendment redevelopment. Existing tax revenue loss starts Day 1 at $763,855/yr from 812 surrounding homeowners losing market value. New condo revenue absorbs over years per NVR construction cadence. Cumulative county position turns net positive in Year 3. Year 5+ net annual gain reaches $1.7M. Note: Year 5+ net annual gain of $1.7M would require approximately 44 years to mathematically equal the $74.9M permanent homeowner equity loss the county caused on Day 1.
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